The hidden cost of payment declines: What is your merchant profile?

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Bottom line: After analyzing hundreds of merchants, we discovered that most businesses fall into one of three payment decline profiles - each with different risks and opportunities for revenue recovery.

Understanding your payment decline profile

Payment declines may seem like an inevitable part of doing business online, but the extensive analysis reveals a more complex picture. By examining payment data across hundreds of merchants, the analysis revealed three distinct decline profiles that can significantly impact your revenue potential.

The 3 merchant profiles:

☘️ The lucky few

Some merchants experience minimal to no declined payments beyond genuine fraud attempts. While this scenario is rare, it does exist- particularly among smaller operations with:

  • High-touch customer relationships
  • Products with passionate customer bases
  • Strong brand reputation and trust
  • Account-based transactions

Even if you are in this category, regular monitoring is essential to maintain this enviable position.

🚨 The urgency zone

This profile represents the danger zone for online merchants. The combination of high decline rates with weak brand loyalty creates the perfect conditions for customer churn. For businesses in this category:

  • Each declined transaction likely represents a permanently lost customer
  • Revenue impact extends far beyond the initial failed transaction
  • Customer lifetime value (LTV) suffers dramatically
  • Addressing payment declines becomes a business-critical priority

If your business falls into this profile, implementing a comprehensive decline recovery strategy isn't optional - it's essential for survival.

📈 The opportunity area

Most established businesses fall into this middle category. With stable brands and moderate decline rates (±10%), these merchants have built customer loyalty that provides some buffer against payment failures. However, analysis shows they are still leaving significant revenue (at least 3%) on the table due to:

  • Preventable declines that could be resolved with better processes
  • Suboptimal recovery workflows after initial decline
  • Poor communication with customers about payment issues
  • Inconsistent retry strategies

For these merchants, a structured approach to payment optimization represents a significant revenue opportunity with minimal customer experience disruption.

Ready to discover your decline profile?

Understanding where your business falls on this spectrum is the first step toward improving your payment success rate. Each category represents different challenges and opportunities, with potential revenue impacts ranging from minimal to severe.

Take the next step

Don't let preventable payment declines undermine your business potential. By implementing targeted strategies based on your specific decline profile, you can recover significant revenue while improving the customer experience. As a first step, let’s work together to identify your decline profile, with the ideal strategy for your business. 

Bottom line: After analyzing hundreds of merchants, we discovered that most businesses fall into one of three payment decline profiles - each with different risks and opportunities for revenue recovery.

Understanding your payment decline profile

Payment declines may seem like an inevitable part of doing business online, but the extensive analysis reveals a more complex picture. By examining payment data across hundreds of merchants, the analysis revealed three distinct decline profiles that can significantly impact your revenue potential.

The 3 merchant profiles:

☘️ The lucky few

Some merchants experience minimal to no declined payments beyond genuine fraud attempts. While this scenario is rare, it does exist- particularly among smaller operations with:

  • High-touch customer relationships
  • Products with passionate customer bases
  • Strong brand reputation and trust
  • Account-based transactions

Even if you are in this category, regular monitoring is essential to maintain this enviable position.

🚨 The urgency zone

This profile represents the danger zone for online merchants. The combination of high decline rates with weak brand loyalty creates the perfect conditions for customer churn. For businesses in this category:

  • Each declined transaction likely represents a permanently lost customer
  • Revenue impact extends far beyond the initial failed transaction
  • Customer lifetime value (LTV) suffers dramatically
  • Addressing payment declines becomes a business-critical priority

If your business falls into this profile, implementing a comprehensive decline recovery strategy isn't optional - it's essential for survival.

📈 The opportunity area

Most established businesses fall into this middle category. With stable brands and moderate decline rates (±10%), these merchants have built customer loyalty that provides some buffer against payment failures. However, analysis shows they are still leaving significant revenue (at least 3%) on the table due to:

  • Preventable declines that could be resolved with better processes
  • Suboptimal recovery workflows after initial decline
  • Poor communication with customers about payment issues
  • Inconsistent retry strategies

For these merchants, a structured approach to payment optimization represents a significant revenue opportunity with minimal customer experience disruption.

Ready to discover your decline profile?

Understanding where your business falls on this spectrum is the first step toward improving your payment success rate. Each category represents different challenges and opportunities, with potential revenue impacts ranging from minimal to severe.

Take the next step

Don't let preventable payment declines undermine your business potential. By implementing targeted strategies based on your specific decline profile, you can recover significant revenue while improving the customer experience. As a first step, let’s work together to identify your decline profile, with the ideal strategy for your business. 

Want to see how Bounce lifts your KPIs?

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Growth Marketing
0
AI-powered retail: Your guide to 2025

The global artificial intelligence (AI) market is experiencing significant growth, with projections indicating a rise from $196.63 billion in 2023 to approximately $826.70 billion by 2030, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 36.6% Artificial intelligence is revolutionizing e-commerce by enabling businesses to adapt and innovate at unprecedented speeds. From crafting hyper-personalized shopping journeys to deploying real-time logistics solutions, AI is enhancing how companies interact with customers and optimize their operations. For example, personalization, powered by machine learning algorithms, can drive up to a 15% increase in revenue. Meanwhile, AI-driven logistics are reducing delivery times and improving inventory accuracy, addressing the rising consumer demand for faster fulfillment. This shift is not just about improving individual touchpoints but about redefining the entire customer journey, from product discovery to post-purchase engagement.

4 AI Solutions in action you should implement to your e-commerce business  

Innovative companies are leveraging AI to address critical pain points in e-commerce. These companies are at the core of e-commerce innovation. Here are some trending companies you need to know:

  • Chargebee: With its Retention AI feature, Chargebee predicts customer churn and delivers actionable strategies to boost retention.
  • ActiveCampaign: This platform uses generative AI to create highly personalized marketing campaigns, fostering deeper customer engagement
  •  Vizit: leverages visual AI to optimize product imagery, increasing relevance and conversions by tailoring visuals to audience preferences.
  • Bounce: False payment declines cost businesses $118 billion annually in lost revenue. Bounce's AI-powered technology instantly recovers over 30% of these declined transactions by automatically identifying and approving legitimate payments in real-time. 

Challenges and risks in the AI era 

Despite AI's promise, its implementation presents several challenges. Businesses must navigate growing concerns around data privacy and comply with stringent regulations like GDPR and CCPA. Integration hurdles can lead to inefficiencies when advanced AI tools are added to outdated systems. Additionally, misaligned applications—such as poorly configured chatbots or irrelevant recommendations—can frustrate rather than engage customers.

The consequences of delaying AI adoption are significant. Companies risk falling behind competitors who are using AI to create seamless, efficient, and engaging customer experiences. To stay competitive, businesses must address these barriers head-on and embrace AI's potential to drive innovation and growth.

Bounce security and scalability

Returning to Bounce, our AI solution goes beyond addressing the problem of false payment declines. False declines are more than a revenue issue—they are a trust issue. Research shows that 41% of customers who experience a false decline never return to the merchant, compounding the financial damage with long-term customer attrition.

Bounce tackles this issue with a real-time AI payment recovery system that identifies and resolves legitimate transactions incorrectly flagged as fraudulent. The system seamlessly integrates into existing payment infrastructures, recovering over 30% of declined transactions without requiring customer intervention. By reducing cart abandonment, Bounce not only recaptures lost revenue but also strengthens customer loyalty and trust.

What sets Bounce apart is its commitment to security and scalability. Its compliance with global privacy standards ensures sensitive payment data is protected, while its frictionless integration minimizes operational disruption. Businesses using Bounce have reported up to a 5% increase in overall revenue and significant improvements in customer satisfaction and retention metrics.

Ready to transform your checkout experience and reclaim lost revenue? Schedule your demo today to see how Bounce can help your business thrive in a competitive 2025’s  e-commerce landscape.

Growth Marketing
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Beyond customer churn: turning failed subscription renewals into revenue
We knew we were losing tens of thousands of dollars in potential revenue each month. We needed a trustworthy solution to optimize the signup subscription process

(Roie Shiloah | Head of Growth  Simply)

Up to the 20th century, subscriptions were primarily limited to traditional industries like newspapers, magazines, and utilities. However, in the 21st century, subscription models have transformed, expanding into digital media, software, and physical goods, making customer retention and renewal rates critical for profitability. The subscription economy has grown significantly, with a global market size valued at $650 billion in 2020 and projected to reach $1.5 trillion by 2025. While subscription-based businesses represent a booming industry, they also face unique challenges, particularly maintaining strong renewal rates. When renewal rates drop, more customers leave the service, directly impacting the bottom line. (e2open.com, thestrategystory.com, statista.com) If you’re managing a subscription business, boosting retention by just 5% could potentially increase your profits by 25% to25% to 95%  . However, despite these stakes, many companies overlook the impact of churn and fail to calculate retention metrics—leading to unanticipated revenue losses. Knowing how renewal rates and churn affect growth and sustainability is crucial, yet many businesses are unaware of their true impact.

How leading companies tackle customer churn

To combat customer churn, successful companies use tailored strategies. Here’s how some well-known brands are keeping their customers engaged and loyal:

  • Personalized customer engagement: Netflix enhances user experience by providing personalized recommendations, keeping customers engaged and loyal.
  • Loyalty programs: Amazon Prime offers members benefits like free shipping, exclusive deals, and access to streaming services, fostering customer loyalty.
  • Flexible subscription options: Spotify offers various subscription tiers, including family and student plans, allowing users to choose options that best fit their needs and budgets, thereby reducing churn.

These approaches show how leading companies customize their strategies to reduce churn effectively. But while valuable, these methods often miss a critical factor: payment issues—a hidden but severe contributor to churn rates.

Bounce Holistic: a proven solution for subscription renewals

Bounce’s Holistic solution is designed to tackle one of the most pressing issues in subscription renewals— false credit card payment decline. By analyzing thousands of data points, Bounce’s ML algorithm identifies the reasons behind failed renewals, allowing businesses to recover up to 30% of transactions that would otherwise be lost due to card declines. This proactive approach will reduce churn by 15% and comes with a detailed dashboard that enables clients to observe and effectively address subscription payment issues.

Simply, formerly known as JoyTune, is a global subscription service that faced a significant challenge: 20% of users who downloaded their Piano app and attempted to subscribe were declined due to payment issues. To address this, Simply partnered with Bounce, implementing a machine learning-powered solution to identify and recover incorrectly flagged sign-up subscribers. This collaboration resulted in a 5% increase in total sign-up revenues and a 2% growth in end-of-trial charges and renewals. Bounce’s subscription payment recovery services effectively reduced false declines, enhancing Simply’s customer acquisition and retention efforts. 

Achieve better renewal rates and key metrics with payment recovery services

With Bounce Holistic, your business can achieve significant improvements in renewal rates and key metrics without adding budget strain or operational complexity. Discover how you can enhance your revenue and stabilize your growth—book a demo today to see Bounce in action!

Growth Marketing
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Converting free trial users to paying customers

ABBA's "Take a Chance on Me" might not have been about the internet and free trials, but the sentiment fits perfectly: In today’s subscription economy, offering something for free to earn loyalty and commitment is spot-on. In fiercely competitive subscription markets and ecosystems, turning free trial users into paying customers is the difference between a win and a loss.

ABBA by Unsplash

7 Winning strategies for making your free-trial users into paying customers

1. Streamline the user journey :To avoid user abandonment, it’s crucial to remove friction from your onboarding process. Tools such as FullStory and Hotjar offer detailed analytics and session recordings to help you pinpoint where users encounter difficulties. 

2. Personalize the experience: Customizing the onboarding process to meet specific user needs can significantly boost conversion rates. For example, Spotify personalizes its user experience by leveraging user data to tailor the onboarding process. When users sign up for a free trial, Spotify analyzes their listening habits and preferences to suggest playlists and songs they are likely to enjoy. This approach makes the trial experience more engaging and increases the likelihood of conversion paid subscription.

3. Accommodate various learning styles:  Provide varied onboarding methods - such as guided tours, checklists, and live workshops - to accommodate different learning styles. Interactive tutorials and personalized guidance can make the onboarding process more engaging and informative.Canva and Notion provide personalized onboarding tutorials during their free trials. 

4. Utilize the Zeigarnik Effect:To boost free trial conversions, leverage the Zeigarnik effect. This psychological principle suggests that people have a strong desire to complete tasks they've started. By using 2-step opt-in forms, you can effectively harness this effect. For instance, OptinMonster's prompts users to click a link to open a signup form, increasing the likelihood they’ll complete the action by entering their email. Hubstaff successfully applied this technique, increasing free trial signups by 21% by engaging abandoning visitors with a well-timed popup.

5. Implement behavior-based emails: Dispatch activity-triggered emails to steer users through essential actions. Emphasizing unused features and upgrade benefits keeps users engaged and promotes conversions.

6. Contextualize Upgrade Prompts :Clearly demonstrate how your product addresses specific user problems, making the upgrade decision more compelling. For example, emphasize how a project management tool streamlines workflows and saves time. This contextualization helps users see the tangible benefits of upgrading to a paid plan. For instance, Asana illustrates how their tool can enhance team productivity and project management efficiency.

7.Request payment information upfront: While requesting payment information upfront may reduce the number of free trials, it filters out non-serious users and increases conversion rates. In the subscription ecosystem, it’s often better to have fewer subscribers who are genuinely interested in your product or service. This strategy is commonly used in SaaS models where the conversion rates for opt-out trials, which require payment information upfront, can be as high as 60%, compared to lower rates for opt-in trials.

The credit card decline dilemma

Even with effective strategies, credit card declines remain a significant hurdle, causing involuntary churn and eroding revenue. The actual moment of conversion, often referred to as the "blind zone," is critical. When this zone is not addressed, potential revenue is lost. Common causes include expired cards, fraud holds, insufficient funds and hard declines. Monitoring and addressing these issues can enhance revenue and customer satisfaction. These issues impact not only revenue but also customer experience and operational efficiency.

Stop leaving money at the table

In today's subscription economy, smooth onboarding is key. But what if perfectly valid subscribers are getting flagged at checkout, leading to lost revenue and frustrated customers?

Bounce solves this problem with the power of AI. Our machine learning technology analyzes payment data to identify valid transactions wrongly declined. This means:

  • An Access to Bounce’s New Tailored Product Swift: Swift is a machine learning solution focused on converting more customers after a free trial. It helps identify users with high intent and ability to pay without charging their cards, ensuring a seamless onboarding experience. Swift operates on two levels: conversion level, predicting chances of becoming paying customers, and action level, suggesting the best actions to turn low-chance users into paying customers. This enhances user experience, accuracy in user acquisition, revenue generation, and understanding of customer lifetime value (LTV).
  • More Subscribers, More Revenue: We recover up to 20% of lost free trial conversions, translating to a 5% boost in top-line revenue.
  • Reduced Customer Churn: Bounce ensures a seamless checkout experience, reducing frustration and leading to a 15% decrease in churn. Happy customers stick around longer, boosting your lifetime value (LTV).
  • Frictionless Signups: Our AI ensures a smooth payment flow, preventing unnecessary friction and keeping customers happy.
  • Recover Lost Revenue: We identify and approve valid subscribers flagged at checkout, recovering up to 10% of failed signups.
  • Boost Conversion Rates: Bounce helps convert more free trials into paying customers, leading to a 4% increase in top-line revenue.
  • Improve Customer Satisfaction: A smooth checkout experience keeps customers happy and reduces churn.

You don't have to take our word for it; we can show you. Schedule a meeting with our experts and see how we can improve your conversion performance.

Growth Marketing
0
Credit card decline rate: The hidden revenue killer for e-commerce
Facts do not cease to exist because they are ignored."

  Aldous Huxley

A silent and often underestimated issue is likely eroding your revenue: your credit card decline rate. This rate, the percentage of legitimate customer transactions rejected by payment processors, is more than a minor inconvenience; industry data shows that billions are lost annually due to these "silent declines." This isn’t just about inconvenienced customers; it’s a tangible drain on your bottom line that demands attention. However, the fact remains that ignoring your credit card decline rate doesn’t make the loss any less significant.

What are credit card decline rates?   

While each instance of a credit card decline represents a lost sales opportunity, the overall credit card decline rate can be misleading if not examined closely within the context of your specific online business. Generally, businesses across various sectors may experience decline rates between 5% and 15%. However, within the e-commerce practice, these numbers tend to be noticeably higher due to the inherent risks of online transactions.

The financial impact of false declines remains substantial. In 2023, it was estimated that as many as seven in ten transactions rejected by merchants may have been false declines, leading to significant revenue losses.  In the U.S. alone, $157 billion in eCommerce sales were at risk due to false declines in 2023, with $81 billion projected to be lost. In contrast, global credit card fraud losses reached a record $33 billion in 2022, with $13.6 billion of those losses occurring in the United States.  This indicates that losses from false declines continue to surpass those from credit card fraud, underscoring the importance for merchants to balance fraud prevention with minimizing false declines.

For example, businesses selling physical goods might experience slightly lower rates compared to those offering digital goods. This is primarily due to the immediate delivery and consumption of digital products, which leaves little time for thorough fraud verification, leading merchants to implement stricter fraud detection measures. Consequently, these stringent measures can result in higher rates of false declines. Notably, subscription-based e-commerce models often face pronounced challenges, with decline rates potentially exceeding 20% or even reaching 30% in some cases. This is often attributed to the recurring nature of billing, where expired cards or insufficient funds can lead to involuntary churn. 

Businesses facing high credit card decline rates often see signs such as abandoned carts, frustrated customers unable to complete their purchases, and a drop in repeat buyers due to poor payment experiences. These lost transactions represent a delicate balance merchants must strike between preventing fraud and ensuring legitimate customers can successfully complete their payments. The cost of retargeting these lost customers is high, both in terms of marketing expenses and the potential damage to customer trust. Addressing this challenge requires merchants to carefully optimize fraud detection systems, minimize false declines, and maintain availability for legitimate transactions—all while keeping operational costs and customer satisfaction in check.

Bounce's specifically designed solution 

The good news for online shop owners is that these often-crippling credit card decline rates aren't an insurmountable obstacle. Solutions like Bounce are specifically designed to tackle this challenge head-on.

 Bounce leverages a sophisticated Machine Learning (ML) model that continuously analyzes transaction data to identify and recover potentially lost revenue due to declined payments.

Bounce does more than just recover declined payments; it provides a comprehensive payment optimization approach, including real-time payment analysis. 

These are Bounce’s results

  • Reduce Churn: Experience a 15% reduction in churn, leading to improved customer retention.
  • Increase Signups: Achieve a 10% increase in signups by ensuring more legitimate transactions are approved.
  • Improve Authentication: Benefit from a 7% lift in authentication rates, streamlining the customer experience.
  • Boost Repeat Buyers: See 50% more repeat buyers, indicating stronger customer loyalty.
  • Enhance Lifetime Value: Realize a 1.5x increase in customer lifetime value, driving long-term profitability.
  • Drive Top-Line Growth: Achieve an average of 5% top-line growth as a result of these combined improvements. With proven results, Bounce will bring you in the best position and propel your business forward.

Real-world impact: How Bounce Increased revenue for Scale

To fully understand the impact of Bounce’s intelligent payment recovery, take the example of Scale, an online company specializing in next-generation health and wellness education and products. Facing a significant 20-30% decline rate on subscription renewals, they implemented Bounce and immediately saw tangible results, boosting their subscription retention by 2.4%. Beyond renewals, Bounce’s ML also tackled Scale’s 10% checkout decline rate, successfully recovering 30% of those failed purchases and delivering an impressive 3-5% revenue uplift. This real-world example powerfully demonstrates how Bounce translates into concrete gains for online businesses and helps to uncover hidden opportunities.Calculate Your revenue recovery:Ready to stop the hidden drain on your revenue and uncover the potential gains? See exactly how much revenue your business could lose due to credit card declines – and how much Bounce can help you recover. Get your free assessment now at https://www.bounceup.io/absolute-sign-up.

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